MAS International Co., Ltd. 2. Kmrc also addresses the drop in the votes of President and Justice and Development Party (AKP) Chair Recep Tayyip Erdoan and the AKP's People's Alliance with the Nationalist Movement Party (MHP): "When people are asked about the most urgent problems of Turkey, the difficulties in making ends meet, high costs of living and inflation are mentioned every month without exception. The survey results also demonstrate that the rate of those who say "I am undecided" or "I won't vote" has been on the increase. 33.8 percent say that they will vote for Erdoan. . Prof. Derya Kmrc attributes the increase in floating votes to the concerns caused by the Russia-Ukraine war: "In times of war, people want to see strong leaders and want to stand behind them. Less than five months after the last legislative elections, Turks on November 1 will vote again in one of the biggest gambles of President Recep Tayyip Erdogan's political career. Pierini is a visiting scholar at Carnegie Europe, where his research focuses on developments in the Middle East and Turkey from a European perspective. widen airlines President Recep Tayyip Erdogan won a new mandate in presidential elections in the first round of voting by winning more than half of the votes, the chief of Turkey's election authority said Monday. Check your email for details on your request. In an increasingly crowded, chaotic, and contested world and marketplace of ideas, the Carnegie Endowment offers decisionmakers global, independent, and strategic insight and innovative ideas that advance international peace. When their own economic condition changes for the better, they continue supporting the ruling party.

When we compare it to the rates on June 25, 2018, we see that there has been a 10-percentage point decrease, which shows that a significant rate of voters have changed their minds.".

10.1 percent are undecided and 1.9 percent "would not cast a vote". I think it will be only possible for them to leave the AKP and turn to other parties if the AKP loses the election, other actors get in the picture and appeal to their worldviews.". Ahead Of Local Polls, Turkey Enters First Recession In A Decade, Like Turkey, India Turns To Central Bank For Help Before Polls, Turkey's Erdogan Wins Presidential Polls, Extending 15-Year Grip On Power, Recep Tayyip Erdogan Claims Victory In Turkey Elections Extending 15-Year Grip On Power, 'Yes' And 'No' Voices Of Divided Turkey Ahead Of Poll, Turkey Under Recep Tayyip Erdogan: 10 Key Developments, Turkey's Opposition Leader Reelected Despite Poll Defeat, President Recep Tayyip Erdogan's AKP Wins Critical Turkey Vote, Turkish PM Targets Single Party Government to 'Fight Terror', Recep Tayyip Erdogan's Gamble May Not Solve Turkey Poll Impasse, Recep Tayyip Erdogan Says Will Call November 1 Snap Turkey Polls, Early Poll Prospects Grow as Turkish Air Strikes Muddy Coalition Talks, Turkey Facing Turbulence After President Recep Tayyip Erdogan Poll Blow, Turkey Votes in Crunch Test for President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, Turkey Braces for Tense Polls After Deadly Attack, We Apologise for Bihar Results Confusion, Says Prannoy Roy, Obama spares turkeys 'shellacking' he got at polls, This website follows the DNPA Code of Ethics, Make sure all words are spelled correctly. 6. When they are asked, "How do you think Turkey is governed," 55.5 percent of the respondents say that "the country is poorly governed" while 18.6 percent think that "it is governed neither poorly nor well" and 24.5 percent are of the opinion that "Turkey is well governed.". .. Advertisement .. Turkey's economy entered its first recession in a decade, official data showed on Monday, just weeks before President Recep Tayyip Erdogan's government faces local elections where growth and inflation will be key issues for voters. When they are asked about for whom they would vote if there was a second round of Presidential elections, 51.1 percent opt for "the candidate of the opposition". Two out of every three voters with bonds of love with Erdoan say that religious values determine their preferences. According to the February poll of the Gezici Research company, four political parties A recent survey conducted by MetroPoll Research company has shown that 49.8 percent President Erdoan's job approval stands at 47 percent while his party's voting share Election poll | Erdoan now only has his core voter base left, Survey: CHP's Kldarolu would win second round of Presidential elections, Survey: 49.8 percent say Erdoan cannot win the election, Opinion poll: Support for AKP lower among first-time voters, 'Zakho is the second Roboski Massacre': HDP, bar associations condemn Kurdistan strikes, Turkey denies responsibility for strike that killed 9 in Iraq's KRG as Baghdad lashes out, Erdoan says US should leave Syria, optimistic about F-16 purchase, Central Bank keeps interest rate constant for the seventh month in a row, Turkey's bombardment hits tourist spot, kills eight in Iraq's Kurdistan region, officials say. The head of Turkey's main opposition party was reelected to the post despite a bruising defeat by President Recep Tayyip Erdogan's party in November elections. (RT/SD). Fax: +32 2736 6222. lgen is a visiting scholar at Carnegie Europe in Brussels, where his research focuses on Turkish foreign policy, nuclear policy, cyberpolicy, and transatlantic relations. Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan said today he would call snap elections likely to be held on November 1 after coalition talks failed in an unprecedented political impasse. This leads to indecision.". . So, the main issue on people's agenda is the economic crisis.

In response to a question regarding a possible snap election in Turkey, 53.2 percent of the respondents say that a snap election should be held; 41.6 percent think that it should not be. , . "This is not a right approach because the economy is not the only factor affecting voting behavior. The contents of this website are the sole responsibility of IPS Communication Foundation and under no circumstances be regarded as reflecting the position of the EU and SIDA and IFEX. You are leaving the CarnegieTsinghua Center for Global Policy's website and entering another Carnegie global site. Voters in Turkey will go to the polls on April 16 to decide on the referendum that would grant President Recep Tayyip Erdogan expanded powers. 1000 Brussels, Belgium, Phone: +32 2 735 56 50 The demand on the central bank comes right in the middle of its financial year that runs from July to June. Turks went to the polls today in the most-closely fought legislative elections since the Islamic-rooted ruling party came to power 13 years ago, in a crucial test for President Recep Tayyip Erdogan's plan to win greater powers. . 4.3 percent of the participants say that they are "undecided" about the snap election. They do not divert from the AKP easily. Over 90 percent of voters say this. ERP , While some voters have not been affected by the Ukraine crisis, a wide majority of the voters say that they have been affected in the reflection of the crisis. By using this website, you agree to our cookie policy. Some voters bring their worldviews to the forefront while some prioritize their religious beliefs and identity. , [ : (, )] 4. System , , . Turkey today prepared for its tightest elections in over a decade, with tensions riding high after a bomb attack killed two and wounded dozens at a rally of the main pro-Kurdish party. System 20 , Turkey today was plunged into a new period of political turbulence after President Recep Tayyip Erdogan's ruling party lost its parliament majority for the first time since coming to power in 2002. "The vote rate of the AKP has not dropped all of a sudden; it has dropped gradually. It was followed by "inflation, high costs of living and difficulties in making ends meet", "injustice", "unemployment" and "education". Turkey looks increasingly likely to face an early election as its air strikes against Kurdish militants in Iraq and Islamic State in Syria stir nationalist sentiment and coalition talks make little apparent progress. Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan on Sunday declared victory in a tightly-contested presidential election, extending his 15-year grip on power in the face of a revitalised opposition. 66 percent of them say that the economic crisis is the major problem of Turkey awaiting to be solved urgently. Operational Research General Coordinator Kmrc says, In the current picture, the opposition has a wide margin, it can even win the Presidential election.. Conducted with the participation of 2,488 people in 27 cities, the survey results show that 55.5 percent of participants think Turkey is poorly managed. Prime Minister Ahmet Davutoglu today said Turkey needed a single-party government to fight "terror", as the country prepares for snap November polls against the background of the army's relentless campaign against Kurdish militants. 3PL . . In this picture, the parties that are not a part of an alliance (HDP, DEVA, Workers' Part of Turkey, Felicity Party, etc.) If it changes for the worse, they punish the ruling party. , . "Erdoan now has his core voter base left. This website is published within the framework of "Journalism for Rights, Rights for Journalists" -dubbed as BA3 - project implemented by the IPS Communication Foundation with the financial assistance of the Swedish International development Agency (SIDA). 3PL . 20, , 40 , 1. "How does the economic crisis affect voters' behavior? , (SECOM) According to the February 2022 survey results of the Operational Research Center, 38.1 percent of the participants would vote for the opposition Nation's Alliance (of the main opposition CHP and Y Party) while 34.2 percent would vote for the ruling People's Alliance (of the AKP and MHP) if Turkey had Parliamentary elections this Sunday. In the event that Erdoan runs for President in the upcoming election, 54 percent of the respondents say that they will "never vote" for him while 34 percent say that "they will definitely" vote for him. Kmrc underlines that even though the AKP's votes have been on the decrease, he has a "loyal voter base" of 25 percent: "There is an attitude like 'How on earth would the AKP receive more than 30 percent of votes while the country is in such a bad state?'. Rue du Congrs, 15 . I think, in this picture, if the AKP is to dissolve, it will happen not because of the bad things it does, but because of the good things the opposition does and displays.". The top five urgent problems of Turkey expressed by participants were the same in February 2022: While "the increases in electricity prices" were on top of the list in the month before, "economic crisis" ranked first last month. Commenting further on the survey results, Kmrc says, "The picture we have is now a deep-seated picture" and adds: "In the current picture, the opposition has a wide margin, it is even highly likely to win the Presidential election.

Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, Malcolm H. Kerr Carnegie Middle East Center. With Erdogan supporters seeing a chance to cement his place as modern Turkey's most important leader while his opponents fear an even greater centralisation of powers, polls suggest the vote will be close. Voters have been punishing [it] for the past two years. The 'Yes' and 'No' camps are increasingly polarised as the countdown starts for Turkey's key referendum Sunday on expanding President Recep Tayyip Erdogan's powers. While 80.3 percent of the participants are of the opinion that the Russia-Ukraine war has negatively affected Turkey's economy, 53 percent of the participants want a snap election in the country. Turkey's long-dominant Justice and Development Party (AKP) scored a stunning electoral comeback on Sunday, regaining its parliamentary majority in a poll seen as crucial for the future of the troubled country. 3. Speaking to bianet about the survey, Operational Research General Coordinator Assoc. . would receive 16 percent while 8 percent would not vote and 3.6 percent are floating voters.

The Operational Research company has shared the results of its "Turkey's Political Panel February" survey.